We already have a public option: It’s called Medicare

Tuesday, 08/25/2009 - 12:39 pm by Marshall Auerback | 6 Comments

public-private-sign-150 Government can’t do public health care? Wait a second…it already does. Roosevelt Institute Braintruster Marshall Auerback looks at the Medicare model.

Senator Charles Schumer indicated earlier this week that Democrats were fleshing out plans to pass health legislation, particularly the option of a new government-run insurance program, with a simple majority, instead of the 60 votes that would ordinarily be needed to overcome a filibuster. Typically for the party that still seems to suffer from an acute case of “Stockholm Syndrome,” the Democrats continue to agonise about using their substantial majorities in Congress to fight for what they really believe in and question whether to use a budget reconciliation procedure to incorporate a public health insurance option in the legislation.

We’ve got a better idea for the Democrats, which will enable them to pass a bill without resorting to controversial Parliamentary procedures, whilst still incorporating a public health care option:

Expand the provisions of Medicare.

In the words of New York Congressman Anthony Weiner let’s do, “Medicare for all Americans.” Since its inception in 1965, Medicare has covered almost all citizens over age 65, and it is one of the most popular government programs existing today. Individual state-managed health programs with low reimbursement to caregivers cover additionally most children with congenital malformations and children with many other disorders. For low-income families, the combined federal and state-managed Medicaid program is available for the majority of medical disorders that are not primarily cosmetic. Why not expand its role to incorporate citizens not covered in any of the existing private health insurance plans? Why not, in fact, allow Medicare to compete against private health insurance companies in order to keep them honest?

The implicit presumption underlying the arguments of opponents of a public health insurance component is that it will add another layer of complex bureaucracy to an already overencumbered health care system, and offer a “consumer unfriendly” service, vastly inferior to supposedly consumer friendly private health insurance plans. (Private plans tend to be “consumer friendly” until the consumer attempts to exercise his/her right to comprehensive medical supposedly paid for by the increasingly exorbitant health insurance premiums.) But even if we accept the logic that a private health insurance program is invariably more efficient than a government administered option (which we don’t, for the record), why do these very same health insurance providers argue that a supposedly inefficient government run health plan will create “unfair competitive advantages?”

In fact, few Americans rail against Medicare or characterize their experiences as something akin to a Kafka novel. As a program, it has great political legitimacy and is as strongly entrenched in the American political landscape as our Social Security system. In 1963, most elderly Americans had no health insurance. Few retirement plans provided any such coverage. The poor had little access to medical treatment until they were in critical condition. Only wealthier Americans could get the finest care, and only by traveling to a few big cities like Boston, Chicago or New York.

In 1966, 19 million were enrolled in Medicare; in 1998, 39 million. Today, 43 million of Americans are covered by the program, yet seldom does one hear a senior citizen complain about struggling under the burden of “socialistic health care”. The program, while not without its flaws, has displayed significantly less cost inflation than private insurance. At 4% per annum its administrative costs less than half of most private insurance companies and polls consistently show very high satisfaction among its participants.

So why does Senator Kent Conrad continue to suggest that there are not enough votes in the Senate to pass a public option for health insurance? It would be interesting to see what would happen to Senator Conrad’s polling numbers in his own state were he to suggest that the government disband its existing public option – Medicare – in the interests of costs savings. Even the Republicans aren’t dumb enough to make that proposal, which makes one wonder why the Democrats don’t do the obvious and simply incorporate the program into a broader health care reform measure.

Why introduce a whole new layer of bureaucratic complexity into an already fiendishly complex health care system, when the foundation for a government run health care option lies right in front of our faces? To maximize profits and shareholder confidence, insurance companies, healthcare providers and drug companies have manipulated the system beyond comprehension. As healthcare costs rise at double-digit rates, fewer and fewer manufacturers and small businesses can offer comprehensive coverage to their employees. More than the UAW, health care was the legacy cost which likely doomed General Motors in its earlier incarnation.

Healthcare gets complicated when it’s built around profits rather than care. Private insurance companies largely generate profits by carefully screening applicants to identify those with a high risk of needing expensive treatment, and either rejecting such applicants or charging them higher premiums. But such screening is itself expensive. Furthermore, it tends to screen out exactly those who most need insurance.

Most advanced countries have dealt with the defects of private health insurance in a straightforward way, by making health insurance a government service. Through Medicare, the United States has in effect done the same thing for its seniors. To be sure, Medicare is not fully adequate to cover all of the medical needs of seniors, and it would be foolish in the extreme to “finance” a new public health care option by cutting “waste” from the very supplemental program payments to private health insurance companies that make Medicare in its current incarnation affordable to most American seniors. To cut Medicare to finance an additional public health insurance option is akin to cutting one’s nose to spite one’s face.

But Medicare does represent a workable foundation to expand the provision of public health care than creating something new from scratch. There are a number of incrementalist ways that Medicare could be expanded so as to alleviate the inevitable insecurities associated with any major kind of reform, particularly in the emotive area of health care. One suggestion by Rick Fonkalsrud, M.D., and economist Michael Intriligator of UCLA, proposes “Medicare Expansion,” which would build a national care system by expanding on the existing Medicare program for citizens over the age of 65 years, with a gradual phasing out of the very uneven and underfunded state-administered Medicaid programs:

“The first step in the Medicare Expansion program would be to enroll children under 5 years of age, pregnant women and those with lifelong illnesses by the end of 2010. The remainder of the population would be phased in gradually, taking the most needy age groups first, until all persons are covered within five years. In 2011, those between 55 and 65 would be enrolled, and in 2012 those from 5 to 15 and those from 45 to 55 would be included. Those between 15 and 25 as well as those from 40 to 45 would be added in 2013. Finally, by the end of 2014, by adding the remaining population between 25 and 40 the entire U.S. population would be covered: There would be Medicare for all in a single-payer system. There would be no limitations based on pre-existing conditions, as is common in private insurance plans.”

Incrementalism does have its virtues. Medicare needs to be expanded to cover all basic medical needs (which is not the case today), not cut back to finance the charade currently being presented as a viable public insurance option. With Medicare as a foundation, and expanded, we can fill the growing gaps in health coverage and ultimately weave together a stable, comprehensive, affordable system for Americans of all ages, one which ties the end user directly to the health care provider, without the interposition of a private sector employer provided benefit (which remains dependent on you retaining your job), or a private health insurance company. Sometimes, simpler really is better. President Obama, please take note!

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6 Comments

  • This plan, in fact, would offer a lot of similarity to the successful plan in France if plans similar to the “Medicare Supplement” plans covering much of the deductibles in Medicare were expanded. Individuals would be able to purchase, above the Medicare coverage, plans as elaborate or specialized as they desired. The beauty of it is that basic, life enhancing care would be available to all and withheld from non. There would still be a market place for Aetna, United Healthcare and their like altered over the phase in period to offer a variety of extras.

    I’m for it!

    Posted by JHunt | August 25th, 2009 at 6:56 pm

  • I’m on Medicare, a Medicare Advantage Program the democrats are trying to end because it’s run too efficiently by private insurers. Look, you guys ascribe all kinds of nefarious motives to insurers that are by and large untrue. All insurers base their premiums and their profits on actuarial estimates of covered health care expenses for their clients (pooled) over the coming year. They are now legally allowed to exclude certain preexisting ailments from coverage. But many folks who have coverage through their employers can obtain insurance for themselves and their families during “open enrollment” periods. And if they change jobs, the new employer’s insurance plan is obligated to accept certification of continuous coverage, not blocking preexisting conditions. Furthermore, COBRA provides 18 months of continuous coverage, and beyond that, most states offer insurance through risk pooled plans that cover preexisting conditions.

    The system works pretty well for most working Americans, and insurance is actually available to a majority of the American portion of the “47 million uninsured”. Why don’t we concentrate on getting those folks to purchase private insurance, or sign up for Medicaid or SChip instead of ruining a private system that works for more than 85% of us? No one believes that the government can run a healthcare system better. Medicare is broke. Medicaid is broke. The VA is broke. And we need to see if the government will ever be competent enough to run these programs before we allow a takeover of the entire system.

    Posted by stop kennedy | August 25th, 2009 at 7:48 pm

  • I agree that we should have mandates for insurance, but why do we need to do this through private insurers, who are much more expensive? I suppose we could ban the practice of pre-selection and rescission. That would be a good start, although I expect that the insurers would find a way to avoid this. Henry Aaron has discussed this in the book Can We Say No?: “Most health costs are incurred by a small proportion of the population whose expenses greatly exceed plausible limits on out-of-pocket spending.” In other words, if people had to pay for medical care the way they pay for groceries, they would have to forego most of what modern medicine has to offer, because they would quickly run out of funds in the face of medical emergencies.

    So the only way modern medical care can be made available to anyone other than the very rich is through health insurance. Yet it’s very difficult for the private sector to provide such insurance, because health insurance suffers from a particularly acute case of a well-known economic problem known as adverse selection. Here’s how it works: imagine an insurer who offered policies to anyone, with the annual premium set to cover the average person’s health care expenses, plus the administrative costs of running the insurance company. Who would sign up? The answer, unfortunately, is that the insurer’s customers wouldn’t be a representative sample of the population. Healthy people, with little reason to expect high medical bills, would probably shun policies priced to reflect the average person’s health costs. On the other hand, unhealthy people would find the policies very attractive.

    You can see where this is going. The insurance company would quickly find that because its clientele was tilted toward those with high medical costs, its actual costs per customer were much higher than those of the average member of the population. So it would have to raise premiums to cover those higher costs. However, this would disproportionately drive off its healthier customers, leaving it with an even less healthy customer base, requiring a further rise in premiums, and so on.

    Insurance companies deal with these problems, to some extent, by carefully screening applicants to identify those with a high risk of needing expensive treatment, and either rejecting such applicants or charging them higher premiums. But such screening is itself expensive. Furthermore, it tends to screen out exactly those who most need insurance.

    Most advanced countries have dealt with the defects of private health insurance in a straightforward way, by making health insurance a government service. Through Medicare, the United States has in effect done the same thing for its seniors. Now, to be sure, Medicare is not the only answer, and it is ridiculous (but typical of Obama) that he is talking about cutting back “waste” in Medicare to fund his new public health option. That’s the equivalent of cutting off your nose to spite your face! He should be expanding Medicare, as I suggested, and forget about cutting it back. Nothing stopping you from retaining your current private health insurance plan, although I hope it is not tied to your employment. Because if it is and, God forbid, you lose that job, you’ve got a problem. We’re trying to avoid that situation as well. Thanks for writing.

    Posted by Marshall Auerback | August 26th, 2009 at 2:07 am

  • There are inefficiencies in medicare that are well worth curtailing. It’s politically stupid to advance that argument at this time, of course, because it tends to obscure the fact that the inefficiencies in medicare are miniscule compared to the inefficiencies in private insurance (which is by and large a monopolistic affair). But there’s no reason why even medicare can’t be made better. It has to be said that none of the major health care bills begin to address the issue of costs per plan, really.

    Also, Stop Kennedy, I don’t know where you get the premise that medicare is “broke”. Medicare is not broke, and will not go broke, if the tax base is expanded responsibly in the next decade. Of course, whether we’re capable of establishing a responsible tax base and tax code in this country after the last 3 decades, politically, is an open question. But it is eminently possible.

    Posted by James Call | August 26th, 2009 at 10:14 am

  • Good Lord, why do the Democrats have to make things so difficult for themselves? Just use the reconciliation process to drop the Medicare age and/or disability limits.

    The Senate Parliamentarian has ruled before that iincreasing age limits fell afoul of the Byrd Rule because it didn’t show any change in outlays or revenue, of course the Senate waived his ruling (see below). Dropping age limits would certainly lead to an increase in outlays, but the other way you could open Medicare to all is by amending the section Nixon added to include coverage to the disabled under age 65. Just change the covered class to those “entitled to a Social Security Account Number” and every citizen and legal resident is covered by Medicare.

    Pay for it by allowing direct Medicare drug price negotiations (would decrease outlays), and by uncapping FICA taxes or some other tax increase (which would certainly increase revenue) and there’s your Byrd Rule-proof health reform bill. Who cares about health exchanges or pre-existing condition rules if every citizen has a Medicare card in their pocket?

    The Insurance and Pharma lobbies ahve dumped millions into Demcratic coffers, the GOP should support Medicare for all just to show the rest of the corporate ingrates what happens to traitors who switch teams.

    9. Balanced Budget Act of 1997 (P.L. 105-33; 8/5/1997)
    a. To Strike Provision(s) from Bill or Conference Report
    Section 5611 No change in outlays or revenues
    Raising the age of Medicare eligibility
    [Waiver] Approved, 62-38
    (June 24, 1997)

    Posted by beowulf | August 26th, 2009 at 4:25 pm

  • Nice idea, “Beowolf”!

    Posted by Marshall Auerback | August 27th, 2009 at 12:03 pm

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